Theoretical Discussion

ClayShaw

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Was talking to a friend of mine last night. He was an NW4 by 23 or so. He and his girl are considering children, and he was joking about not wanting his kids to go bald young. I told him I thought that his kids wouldn't have to worry about it.
How effective do you guys think treatments will be in 20 years or so?
In 20 years, it will be 40 years since Rogaine, and 30 since Propecia.
 

casperz

Experienced Member
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You will have those here that say you will never see a cure in our
lifetime and those who say it will be less than five years. If you look at the
tough problems like cancer, MS, CF and all the research that goes into them
and how long they've been trying, you begin to see how tough some of
these problems are to solve and I think hair loss may fall into that category.
But I'm hopeful that some of the new stem cell treatments can be applied to
hair loss and we will all have the hair that we had at 16. And I think we will
know either way in 5 years. Either some of this new technology is going to
come to fruition or it's not and I think by say 2015 we will have a
pretty good idea. And if some of this does come about it means that some
really bad disease's can be cured and in addition to hair we might all be
able to live more youthful, healthy lives for much longer. I'm in my
forties and in top shape, but I realize that aging is going to start
to wear me down, and the thought of having something that I have
no real control over is pretty depressing. But if some of these stem
cell therapies can slowdown or eliminate aging I could have another
40 to 60 good years of health instead of maybe 20 to 30 if I'm
lucky. And I believe that slowing aging is much more important than
any hair loss issue becuase it affects 100% of us and it's always fatal.
 

kc444

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I think there will be a "cure" in the next 20-30 years at the most. Every year it seems that medicine advances more rapidly than the last. The question is though, how does a person who is completely bald explain to others what happened when he comes in to work the next day with a full head of hair? :p Actually, I don't think the ladies would care one bit. Its just funny to think about responses you'd get. Other men might feel threatened!
 

ClayShaw

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kc444 said:
I think there will be a "cure" in the next 20-30 years at the most. Every year it seems that medicine advances more rapidly than the last. The question is though, how does a person who is completely bald explain to others what happened when he comes in to work the next day with a full head of hair? :p Actually, I don't think the ladies would care one bit. Its just funny to think about responses you'd get. Other men might feel threatened!

I think that's a worry a lot of guys here would be happy to have.
 

Whoop

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ClayShaw said:
kc444 said:
I think there will be a "cure" in the next 20-30 years at the most. Every year it seems that medicine advances more rapidly than the last. The question is though, how does a person who is completely bald explain to others what happened when he comes in to work the next day with a full head of hair? :p Actually, I don't think the ladies would care one bit. Its just funny to think about responses you'd get. Other men might feel threatened!

I think that's a worry a lot of guys here would be happy to have.

Rofl, I'd pay for that problem!

Ontopic: I'd say that the cure is coming soon. I'm having high hopes on the A&G product that's coming out in less than 2 weeks (!). If that one fails, I am sure they have at least made progression in finding a cure. I think science is getting better exponentially. You cannot say "they have been looking for a cure for cancer for 10 years and found nothing, so expect another 20". Science is accelerating these days and I love it.

So about the children, I would not worry about it at all :)
 

ali777

Senior Member
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Ok, here is my prediction....

The last 20-30 years have been largely about commercialisation and deployment of technology.

The next 20-30 years will belong to medical sciences and genetics research.
 

Flavio

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ClayShaw said:
Was talking to a friend of mine last night. He was an NW4 by 23 or so. He and his girl are considering children, and he was joking about not wanting his kids to go bald young. I told him I thought that his kids wouldn't have to worry about it.
How effective do you guys think treatments will be in 20 years or so?
In 20 years, it will be 40 years since Rogaine, and 30 since Propecia.

Optimism guys, optimism! :)

12 years ago, no one could even imagine that there would be a pill to treat male pattern baldness and then in 1998 finasteride came along. The same thing with ED and v****.

I don't know when a definitive cure will be found, but I'm totally confident that there will be dramatic improvements in the field of hair loss soon.
 

casperz

Experienced Member
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Think about how long 15 years is, that's 1994. Fifteen years ago most people
had not even heard of the internet or email. We were using computers
with DOS or Windows 3 with 386 or 486 CPU's. No finasteride, very
expensive minoxidil, no cell phones, no Tivo, no digital camera's, no
handheld computers, no GPS, no human genome map, no debit cards,
no DVD's, no flat panel TV's, very few no doppler radar's, no online stock
trading, no disposable contacts, no HPV cancer vaccine, no laser eye surgery,
no v****, no botox, no laser hair removal, we had never been to Mars,
no embryonic stem cells and the list goes on. A lot of things we take for
granted have just come about in the last 15 years and I'm certain that
in another 15... 2024 a lot of the things like cancer, aging and hair loss
will be treatable and maybe cured.
 

ClayShaw

Experienced Member
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casperz said:
Think about how long 15 years is, that's 1994. Fifteen years ago most people
had not even heard of the internet or email. We were using computers
with DOS or Windows 3 with 386 or 486 CPU's. No finasteride, very
expensive minoxidil, no cell phones, no Tivo, no digital camera's, no
handheld computers, no GPS, no human genome map, no debit cards,
no DVD's, no flat panel TV's, very few no doppler radar's, no online stock
trading, no disposable contacts, no HPV cancer vaccine, no laser eye surgery,
no v****, no botox, no laser hair removal, we had never been to Mars,
no embryonic stem cells and the list goes on. A lot of things we take for
granted have just come about in the last 15 years and I'm certain that
in another 15... 2024 a lot of the things like cancer, aging and hair loss
will be treatable and maybe cured
.

Treatable? Well, hair loss and certain types of cancer are "treatable" now. There are many types of cancer that are almost never fatal, and the treatment is very effective. Obviously, if there were an effective treatment for hair loss, places like hair loss talk probably wouldn't exist.
So... in 15 years, if younger people are lucky, maybe there will be an effective preventative treatment. I don't think there will be an NW7-->NW1/2 treatment in 15 years, but I'd love to be proven wrong.
Its like Chris Rock says.
Theres no money in a cure. A drug dealer makes his money on the comeback. Why would anyone want to improve on Propecia? $60 a month for life?? Thats pretty good from their end.
 

Boondock

Senior Member
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Given that several companies are on the way to developing effective treatments, I'd say 20-30 years is way too far out for this to happen. Intercytex have done Phase II trials, dammit! Already! My hope is for 5 years, but I think within 20 years is almost a given - well in time for his kids if they wanted to get it sorted.
 
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