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I assume that by predictability, when you say it, is mostly relating to the outcome of approaching women with positive reinforcement from not being rejected.
If so, i find it scary that there are people out there who think they can know, understand, or predict the actions of a woman
Bringing up someone's IQ is an attempt to undermine their argument, which is not the most polite way of going about it.
In any case, i know cause and effect; positive reinforcement does wonders for confidence as it would for salivating if you are Pavlov's dogs. However, consider that people's looks usually degrade over time and their confidence level does not necessarily adapt with it. A handsome (let's say a 8-9) NW1 at 20 can be a mere 5-6 by 30 if we are going just by looks yet the high confidence level can be so engrained in him that it doesn't adapt to his new (lesser) looks. In that scenario, is the higher confidence level hurting or helping?
Even if confidence is a product of predictability, predictability (or perhaps healthy delusion) influences action, which in turn can affect success ratio. Basically the more you play the more you are likely to succeed.
In this sense, confidence does in fact help, regardless of whether the confidence is justified or not.
I don't agree.
I'm 32 right now. I've known a number of men since they were ~20 or even earlier.
Some of them have more confidence now, some have less confidence, some have better looks, some have lesser looks. Keep in mind though men stop growing taller at 17 or so, they keep growing more muscle through to age 23 or so, and maybe later if they train. They grow more facial hair too. Lots of men are better looking at 30 than at 20, it varies.
I totally don't buy your canonical example of a man being a 10/10 at age 20, a 5/10 on age 30, and having the same confidence. That might be true here and there, as a rare exception, within a landscape of possibilities and outcomes.
I hold women in high regard -- I think that most of them are very, very effective at evaluating men. There has been ~1.3 billion years of sexual evolution on Earth, and the past 25,000 years of human evolution has largely been driven by sex (Desmond Morris' The Naked Ape, 1967). Sexual selection is very tightly built in neurological circuitry. If a man has a completely deluded sense of self-worth, I believe that women are going to see through that fairly quickly.
I honestly think it's nearly as simple as a credit card. If I go to the shop and buy $70 worth of groceries I am confident that my credit card will be accepted. My high confidence here is an effect, not a cause. Though you might be pedantic and say that it is because of that confidence that I'm willing to buy fancy cheese, meat, and vegetables.