It is not a question of "will it happen" but "how much". If you are one of the 87% of people propecia works on the back for (or a smaller percentage it works on the front for) you don't get a permenant shed. Even the average responder loses hair after a few years. It is just a question of how much and where. Some people get sheds from propecia and grow it back.
As for dutasteride, 0.1mg per day grows just as much as 5mg finasteride per day. The study I saw showed that the higher the dose above 0.1mg/day, the better it worked in back and the worse it worked in front. It did not say there was a shed. It just said it regrew less hair in front. So if you were just maintaining with finasteride, that drop in effectiveness could be enough no longer maintain. If you are the shedding type, you may oscillate downwards. If you are not the shedding type, you will just gradually lose hair. But most people gain hair on high doses of dutasteride, just not as much as on proscar in the front.
0.5mg/day regrew less hair than proscar in the back, so clearly that is not the ideal dose. Propecia "was not tested in the back", yet how do we know that "propecia is less effective in the front than the back"? Purely from word of mouth? Did merk poll people on HairLossTalk.com years ago? I think they did test stuff but only publically report the best results. I suspect the study I found was less public, though I wonder why I'd be able to find it at all if they did not want it public.
The question, is, what DHT inhibition rate, both of 5ar1 and 5ar2, is optimal for the front. We don't know. We know that 0.1mg dutasteride is the same as 5mg finasteride and is better than 0.05mg dutasteride and 0.5mg dutasteride. So the maxima could be at 0.1mg, or it could be a bit more or less, but not to close to 0.5 or 0.05. There is more space between 0.1 and 0.5 than between 0.05 and 0.1, and I'd like to error on the side of improving the back of my head as well, so I am taking 2-3 pills per week. With my saved money, I am buying AR blockers. I suggest people here get oleic acid, which is very cheap and probably as strong as spironolactone.