I know that I'm on Sparx4444's ignore list. This is not meant as a reply to him but to clear up things for the others.
...If you're getting excited about RepliCell, then you can afford 5 years of waiting...most of us don't have 5 years to waste...
Nonetheless, either they or Follica will be the first ones to provide any regenerative treatment. As things stand, there is no better option than to wait for those years until RepliCel or Follica will be available.
and the fact they're crawling around the globe begging for places to further their research just doesn't give me any confidence that this thing even works...period...
Yeah, of course. Sparx4444 also thought that RepliCel is a "JOKE" and "rats" because they release trial data 24 months after the trials which is commonplace for almost every clinical trial. Even if not released, those data are almost always collected.
They aren't going begging anywhere, and arent going anywhere to "further their research". Shiseido serves as a
distributor for SEA, because RepliCel as an R&D company has no distribution resources. The continuing Phase IIb trials right now are mandatory to acquire approval for a treatment by the authorities such as the FDA and regional counterparts in Europe and elsewhere. In case such approval is necessary, at least - some said that this approval is not necessary in the case of Follica because their treatment will only be available under doctoral supervision. Either way, as can also be read on Wikipedia, Phase IIb and III are carried out to make sure that a treatment does not only work, but also that it is
safe. Thus, no company will dump phase IIb trials even if efficacy was already established.
Sparx4444 also continues to ignore the mid-trial data from phase I/IIa, which showed 12% density increase after 6 months which can be obtained
here.
and when I mean "works", I mean grow the hair, it stays and you have a cosmetic difference -- anything less than 60% regrowth will not be good enough for most...
The 12% regrowth were after only 6 months. We don't know yet if after another 6 months additional regrowth can be achieved or not, or if the 12% stay. That is, by the way, exactly what the 24 months post-trial data is for. To see if it stays or not and if there are long-term risks.
As for "what is good enough" everyone has to decide for themselves. If I can get a shot every two years to maintain and not use any minoxidil or finasteride, I'd be quite happy. If each shot fills in a little bit more hair, I'd be even happier, and 12% in just one shot ain't too bad. Not perfect, but - at least in my opinion, everyone has to determine that for themselves - quite an improvement.
Sparx4444 said:
...whatever they have is unproven....
Yeah, if you ignore the phase I/IIa results then they're unproven. But for everyone else who does not selectively ignore clinical data when it does not fit their personal views, they're not.
abcdefg said:
Given the history of male pattern baldness maybe we should wait until we see everything working the whole process start to finish maybe replicated by someone else before we proclaim male pattern baldness is history.
We don't even know yet whether Follica or RepliCel achieve full regrowth with their treatments or only limited regrowth, e.g. if RepliCel can only give you regrowth once and that's it. For example only on areas that are thinning right now or haven't been completely dead hair-wise for a long time. At least the limited regrowth is certain. The
potentially limited effect of at least RepliCels treatment was convincing enough for Shiseido to sign a 30 million dollar contract with RepliCel which gives Shiseido exclusive distribution rights in SEA. Seems Shiseido is convinced of the effect that RepliCel achieves. That makes me quite optimistic that at the very least, limited but reliable regrowth can be achieved with RepliCel's solution. If any more than these 12% can be achieved with long-term treatment, is yet to be seen and will be established with the phase IIb trials. Whether the gains from the short-term phase I/IIa trials actually stay will be seen at the presentation of the 24 month post-trial data.
Breaking Bald said:
Well that's good news I guess! What the **** happened to Histogen though? They've gone awfully quiet!!
I haven't followed them at all, so I can't say. But at least the approach of Follica and RepliCel is known and has been confirmed to work.